Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 4.206313 4.525070 4.867190 5.263578 5.712596 6.208313 6.800975
2025-06-08 3.696415 4.139005 4.645595 5.275912 6.050166 6.985464 8.225573
2025-06-15 3.429410 3.943665 4.558551 5.363221 6.412895 7.773539 9.740580
2025-06-22 3.111638 3.639487 4.288687 5.167268 6.361738 7.990231 10.502955
2025-06-29 2.883528 3.419753 4.094784 5.034533 6.358630 8.246925 11.342365
2025-07-06 2.700552 3.239899 3.932251 4.919680 6.355028 8.486315 12.183047
2025-07-13 2.583121 3.134597 3.856448 4.911483 6.495418 8.950518 13.483231
2025-07-20 2.510350 3.081693 3.844561 4.988251 6.765040 9.651117 15.372286
2025-07-27 2.464665 3.060828 3.872977 5.122753 7.135410 10.574854 17.968065
2025-08-03 2.390452 2.995400 3.832525 5.147674 7.328121 11.215377 20.185059
2025-08-10 2.307124 2.912195 3.760318 5.115842 7.419142 11.678755 22.158732
2025-08-17 2.203248 2.794760 3.631090 4.983501 7.320806 11.756272 23.191434
2025-08-24 2.108260 2.690410 3.522328 4.887293 7.297102 12.023738 24.989112
2025-08-31 2.046435 2.631713 3.479660 4.897480 7.472116 12.753157 28.573913
2025-09-07 2.006410 2.602178 3.478520 4.975185 7.781824 13.850176 34.154639
2025-09-14 1.910249 2.485314 3.336034 4.800647 7.581338 13.719466 35.218089
2025-09-21 1.833758 2.394700 3.230127 4.682183 7.480150 13.813895 37.308509
2025-09-28 1.766099 2.314650 3.136954 4.579524 7.399943 13.947026 39.721684
2025-10-05 1.723788 2.271055 3.099269 4.572192 7.515016 14.612104 45.334500
2025-10-12 1.700182 2.254694 3.103977 4.640832 7.798514 15.809890 55.531099
2025-10-19 1.688082 2.255221 3.135678 4.760939 8.211063 17.517526 72.840560
2025-10-26 1.657477 2.225695 3.116187 4.783172 8.405722 18.631773 89.238098
2025-11-02 1.619114 2.182587 3.071969 4.754773 8.478494 19.375969 105.047941